Local Election VII

All the England and Wales council results are in.

This has been a disaster for Labour. More than just “disappointing” but disastrous. Losing 331 councillors and 9 councils is far more than any was predicting. This is the beginning of a melt-down. And it, really, can only get worse for them. If Ken loses London as widely expected then, well, there is no denying that 1 May 2008 will go down as a catastrophic day in the history of the Labour Party. That Brown’s choice of General Secretary has also refused to take up the position makes 2 May a very bad day as well.

Conversely, for the Conservatives it had an absolute triumph. A gain of 256 councillors and 12 councils, when a net gain of 10-200 was said to be the expected area, and more than 200 being champagne cork-poppingly good. And this is even better than that. A “big moment” it was. A Boris victory in London would just be the icing on the huge celebratory cake.

The Lib Dems, despite some good gains, such as Sheffield and St Albans, have utterly failed to make any real impact. They are hardly “regaining momentum“, but going backwards in the face of Conservative advancement, with their share of the projected national vote falling another percentage point for the fourth year in a row. Gaining 34 councillors and 1 council is hardly any sort of real advancement. The only real redeeming factor for them is that Labour got an ever lower projected national share than they did. And of course, Paddick has about as much chance of getting elected London mayor as I do.

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