More Crewe and Nantwich…
The Crewe and Nantwich by-election is taking place today - and I keep writing about it even though I don’t think it really matters …
Bookies are already paying out on a Conservatice victory before any votes were even cast, let alone counted, is profoundly absurd - and, frankly, an affront to democracy. We do not know how the electroate of Crewe and Nantwich will vote, no matter what the polls say. All we can do is make educated estimates and place results in order of likelihood and how good the result will be perceived to be for each of the parties.
Via PoliticsHome’s PHI100 panel, this is the expectations of what the Crewe and Nantwich by-election results will mean for the two main parties. They seem in about the right area to me. Though any Conservative by-election win - the first when I have been alive - will be good in itself, no matter how many votes it is by.
Will Gordo be able to find his way out if Labout lose by more than 4,000 - down from a majority of 7,000 in 2005…?
Video hat-tip: PlayPolitical
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Even if you overlook the convenient name change from ‘Moyra Tamsin Dunwoody-Kneafsey’ to ‘Tamsin Dunwoody’ and her recent pretentious behaviour, this woman is certainly not her mother’s daughter - one chip off the old block does not make a block.