Archive for the 'Lies' Category

Lies, Damned Lies, And "Intelligent Guesses"

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They didn’t know - or couldn’t be bothered to work it out - so they just made it up!

Guidelines on safe alcohol consumption limits that have shaped health policy in Britain for 20 years were “plucked out of the air” as an “intelligent guess”.
The Times reveals today that the recommended weekly drinking limits of 21 units of alcohol for men and 14 for women, first introduced in 1987 and still in use today, had no firm scientific basis whatsoever.
Subsequent studies found evidence which suggested that the safety limits should be raised, but they were ignored by a succession of health ministers.
One found that men drinking between 21 and 30 units of alcohol a week had the lowest mortality rate in Britain. Another concluded that a man would have to drink 63 units a week, or a bottle of wine a day, to face the same risk of death as a teetotaller. (The Times)

So those bastards just made up a drinking limit and then stuck to it. A limit that is stupidly low and, actually, nothing more than a so-called “intelligent guess” made by people who must have been deeply stupid. They then passed off their guess as incontrovertible fact.

It really pisses me off that “a feeling that you had to say something” on behalf of the Royal College of Physicians led to the constant demonisation of anyone who exceed these limits. They “were really plucked out of the air. They were not based on any firm evidence at all” and yet became the foundations of decades of government policy on alcohol.

What this shows is that these arbitrary statistics on so-called “healthy” levels of various substances are utter bollocks. Based on estimations and on the “average” person, they are next to useless at the best of times, and even worse when they are said to be, or taken as, incontrovertible facts.

Source: The Times

Tory Plays The Lib Dem Bar Chart Game

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It seems that at least one Conservative candidate has decided to copy the Lib Dems and their dodgy bar charts. And shame on you, Chris Philip, Conservative PPC for Hampstead and Kilburn, for doing so. Chris Paul picked up on this disgraceful misrepresentation, apparently through seeing it as a Google ad under my header. Of course, I don’t choose what those links are.

Both in a leaflet [pdf]* delivered to local residents and on his website, Chris Philip claims that:

It’s the same here in Hampstead & Kilburn as it is nationally: only the Conservatives can beat Labour. At the last General Election, the Conservatives came second behind Labour in our area, with Lib Dems trailing behind in third.

Except in the actual 2005 result, the Conservatives were just 1.5% ahead of the Lib Dems [9.7% behind Labour], which is hardly “trailing” in third. And since Hampsteada and Kilburn is a new seat, created with “the majority of the old Hampstead and Highgate constituency along with a large proportion of Brent East and part of Queen’s Park, currently in Brent South”, that doesn’t matter as much as the notional 2005 results which give the Lib Dems a big boost in the seat, taking them to 34.1% and reducing the Conservatives to 23.8% [shown the the graph above and right, alongside the false one used by Chris Philip]. Thus in no way is it true that “only the Conservatives can beat Labour” in Hampstead and Kilburn.

I hate it when politicians abuse the electorate in such a way - hence my attacks on Sal Brinton and her lies in Watford. I want her to apologise, fully and unreservedly, for her lies. And the same applies to Chris Philip in Hampstead and Kilburn. Apologise for your lies and do not repeat them. Especially don’t represent them with such bad and easily misproven “evidence”.

When I was researching for this post, I had hoped that there would be some way in which his claims could be vindicated. I had hoped that there was a way in which his interpretation could have at least within a reasonable skip hop and a jump from the truth. But there really isn’t. It is lying, pure and simple, and as bad as that constantly done by the Lib Dems - which is no excuse for it from a Conservative.

Playing politics with figures to a certain extent is expected. But what Chris Philips has done is pure unadulterated fiction. He has almost reversed the facts. And he should damn well apologise for it. That is the only way that he can possibly win back any credibility, and prove himself at all worthy of being an elected Member of Parliament. Don’t do a Sal Brinton, Chris. Show that you are better than them. Accept what you have done is wrong and make a full and unreserved apology.

* Downloaded and saved in case it is deleted later.
Story hat-tip: Chris Paul
Constituency Information: UK Polling Report