Add a comment December 24th, 2007 by ThunderDragon
Not only are his closest allies telling Brown that he time is very nearly up, but so is the electorate.
Voters believe it is “time for change” and that the next government should be a Conservative one, according to an opinion poll for The Independent.
The survey by ComRes shows that David Cameron is seen as the best Prime Minister for Britain, as more likeable than Gordon Brown and as having the best frontbench team…
The most striking finding is that 48 per cent of the public agree with the statement that “it’s time for change and the next government should be a Conservative one”, while only 36 per cent would prefer a Labour administration to a Tory one. (
The Independent)
This surely is very bad news for the future of Gordon Brown and this Labour government. But a very very good news for the Conservatives.
Image nicked from Guido
Add a comment December 22nd, 2007 by ThunderDragon
It seems that Labour’s fortress is under siege:
A blue tide of Conservative support is spreading into Labour’s heartlands, according to new analysis carried out by ICM for the Guardian. The data suggests that David Cameron may be beginning to build an election-winning platform by making progress in the Midlands and the north of England…
The research indicates that Tory support has surged outside its traditional areas of strength in southern England. The party is now hard on Labour’s heels in the north, at 38% against Labour on 40%. (
The Guardian)
And to a Conservative, this news just brings on a smile.
The future’s bright, the future’s blue.
1 Comment December 16th, 2007 by ThunderDragon
It has now been reached, with YouGov giving the Conservatives 45% and a 13-point lead, the largest lead that YouGov have ever given them. If this poll was to be replicated at a general election, the Conservatives would get a 96 seat majority in the Commons.
45% is the target that Cameron set for the Conservatives and the level of support that is widely regarded as necessary to ensure a working majority of MPs. They have now reached it, which is fantastic news.
But let’s not get over-excited - this is just one poll, and the new Lib Dem leader has yet to be announced which is bound to increase their poll rating at least in the short-term. And Gordon Brown has had a very bad time of late, which is bound to impact on Labour’s poll rating, and it is thus likely if not inevitable that it will rise at some point.
Even so, it is very good news for the Conservatives. And we can all just hope that 45% becomes the standard rating the Tories get in future polls!
Add a comment November 27th, 2007 by ThunderDragon
13% lead! Hopefully we can see this sort of poll more often…
Add a comment October 26th, 2007 by ThunderDragon
Thirteen days ago, a Sunday Telegraph poll put the Conservatives on 43%, Labour on 36%, and the Lib Dems on 14%. Today, a Daily Telegraph poll today puts the Conservatives on 41%, Labour on 38%, and the Lib Dems on just 11%. These were done by two different pollers - ICM for the Sunday Telegraph, and You Gov for the Daily Telegraph - and so show that the Tories are consistently beating Labour, for now at least.
This means that the Tories are now on top. Maybe not by much, but they are. Their lead after party conference and Brown chickening out of an election is nore than just a blip. The very least that can be said for now is that it is a sustained blip.
The biggest issue with the polls has to be for the Lib Dems. They are now severely behind where the level they were at at the last general election - and even dumping Ming hasn’t helped them yet. They will get a bounce in the polls when either TweedleClegg or TweedleHuhne is selected to be leader, but it won’t last. The Lib Dems go up and down in the polls despite what they do, rather than because of it - as they are, after all, primarily a protest party. They might nick a few points of both sides, but a huge number from neither.
This is a good poll for the Conservatives, a bad one for the Lib Dems, and a not-so-good-but-it-could-be-worse poll for Labour. The challenge is for the Conservatives to hold and extend this lead, and for the Lib Dems to prevent internal panic and to use this point as a measure of how well their new leader - whichever he is - is doing.
Add a comment October 13th, 2007 by ThunderDragon
Via Iain Dale and ConservativeHome, a Sunday Telegraph poll puts the Conservatives on their highest ICM poll since 1992:
Conservative: 43%
Labour: 36%
LibDems: 14%
From lows to highs, eh! Just a few weeks ago, we were trailing by eleven points, and now we’re leading by seven! Hopefully this high will last longer than Brown’s momentary lead and be able to be built on to ensure that we win the next general election - whenever Gordon Brown decides to call it.
Some thought that Brown’s eleven point lead meant an end to Cameron and the Conservatives as a whole. How wrong they were! But recent polls do show that they are pretty volatile at the moment - except for the Lib Dems who are constantly trailing in the low double figures. Thus it seems that Brown’s indecision over calling an election and his recent policy plagiarism have marred him in the electorate’s eyes.
We can but hope this this isn’t just a blip in the polls, but a sign that the Conservatives are properly back on top properly and for good.
Image: ConservativeHome
